Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #24
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
Crown Point Regional Rank #1
Gavit Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 71.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 351 345 474 337 342 372 379 792 367 381 413 408 383
Team Adjusted Rating 345 362 337 342 365 371 351 340 341 378 371 350
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
37  Hannah Roth 12 19:07 19:49 19:36 19:33 19:46 19:26 19:33 19:41 19:41 19:24 18:59
195  Natalie Kransky 9 20:13 20:31 20:33 20:08 20:04 20:03 20:21
245  Taylor Kosiek 10 20:26 21:06 20:32 20:41 20:34 20:30 20:39 19:58 20:00 20:29 20:27 20:33
270  Lillian Zubeck 12 20:33 19:49 19:47 20:02 21:16 20:53 20:39 20:30
322  Emily Thomas 11 20:44 20:21 20:52 20:41 20:54 20:36 20:53 20:33 20:41 20:56 20:52
333  Carly Davis 10 20:46 21:28 21:37 20:32 20:57 20:40 20:48 20:36 20:27 20:40 21:03 20:45
376  Abigail Martisek 11 20:54 21:03 20:37 20:51 20:40 21:04 21:01 20:38 20:58 21:10 20:46 21:04
430  Rachel Kujawa 12 21:05 20:32 21:07 20:44 21:07 20:38 20:41 20:40 21:37 21:45 21:08 21:46
472  Rachel Narjes 10 21:12 21:31 21:25 21:03 21:24 21:30 21:07 21:08 20:55
546  Krista Kulacz 10 21:29 20:56 21:21 20:59 21:23 22:12 21:37 21:38
597  Riley Knestrict 11 21:36 21:41 21:40 21:34 21:38 21:30 21:50 21:23 21:52
744  Amanda Spanier 9 21:56 21:50 22:08 21:40 21:56 21:40 22:31 22:15 21:47
1,141  Kylie Carroll 10 22:48 22:36 22:27 22:37 22:52 23:03 22:49 22:37 23:22
1,165  Claire Goggin 11 22:50 23:42 23:26 23:16 23:08 22:14 22:27 23:16 22:10
1,369  McKenzie Schilling 11 23:16 22:16 22:37 23:07 23:36 23:34 23:47
1,382  Lilly Rizzo 12 23:18 23:36 23:27 23:43 22:38 23:24 23:19
1,400  Khaila Freitagg 10 23:23 24:05 23:07 24:04 23:07 23:38 22:57 23:22
1,416  Shelby Noonan 9 23:25 22:41 23:30 23:47 22:43 23:03 23:35 24:24
Corinne Gillette 9 23:34 22:58 23:05 23:32 23:25 25:24
Samantha Lazowski 9 23:53 23:35 24:03 23:42 23:56 24:19 23:30 23:24 24:57
Abigail Barrett 10 24:10 23:32 23:28 25:04 24:12 24:22 24:33 24:37 23:37
Emily Marcotte 10 24:36 24:59 25:35 23:19 24:52 24:32 25:04 24:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 71.9% 20.6 482 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.8 3.4 4.7 7.0 8.7 13.2 14.4 10.6 5.2
Semi-State 100% 5.3 183 0.5 3.1 20.1 18.0 16.0 14.4 11.9 8.7 6.5 1.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.6 46 56.5 27.7 15.9
Sectionals 100% 1.0 23 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 98.8% 40.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.7 95.6% 98.4%
Taylor Kosiek 71.9% 144.4 0.0% 0.3%
Lillian Zubeck 71.9% 151.9 0.0% 0.2%
Emily Thomas 71.9% 165.2 0.0% 0.0%
Carly Davis 71.9% 167.7 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Martisek 71.9% 174.1 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Kujawa 71.9% 182.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 100% 6.2 0.4 5.1 9.1 11.7 11.5 10.3 9.8 8.6 7.3 7.0 4.6 5.1 2.9 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Taylor Kosiek 100% 44.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 100.0%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 50.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Emily Thomas 100% 61.4 100.0%
Carly Davis 100% 62.8 0.1 100.0%
Abigail Martisek 100% 71.8 100.0%
Rachel Kujawa 100% 84.3 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 100% 2.3 0.6 38.3 35.6 18.7 5.0 1.6 0.4 100.0%
Taylor Kosiek 100% 9.0 0.3 1.3 5.9 23.2 18.7 16.7 13.0 8.9 5.0 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Lillian Zubeck 100% 10.2 0.1 0.8 2.3 12.0 16.6 15.9 13.6 10.4 9.3 6.9 4.6 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Emily Thomas 100% 12.9 0.5 3.2 5.6 7.3 10.4 12.2 12.5 10.3 9.7 7.3 5.9 4.3 2.3 2.9 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.4 100.0%
Carly Davis 100% 13.3 0.3 2.0 5.0 6.6 8.9 11.7 12.1 11.5 9.7 7.5 7.1 4.7 3.7 2.9 1.8 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Abigail Martisek 100% 15.3 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.6 5.6 6.5 9.2 10.5 11.1 10.0 9.8 8.0 6.2 4.6 3.6 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.6 100.0%
Rachel Kujawa 100% 18.8 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 3.1 5.0 6.0 8.6 7.9 9.4 9.0 7.9 8.7 7.4 5.2 5.1 4.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Roth 1.0 91.8 7.6 0.6
Taylor Kosiek 3.8 0.7 6.0 53.7 24.2 9.8 4.5 1.1 0.3
Lillian Zubeck 4.6 0.1 2.8 26.1 36.6 19.9 8.6 4.9 1.0 0.1
Emily Thomas 6.0 0.4 5.7 15.9 27.4 24.6 15.4 8.0 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.1
Carly Davis 6.4 0.2 5.2 12.9 22.1 27.1 19.6 9.6 2.8 0.6 0.1
Abigail Martisek 7.4 1.3 4.5 11.5 21.1 31.9 19.4 8.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
Rachel Kujawa 8.7 0.9 2.6 6.1 14.4 37.6 27.9 7.1 3.0 0.5 0.2